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Championship. Matchday 21

Bootle FC vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Bootle FC Crewe Alexandra
56 ELO 56
139% Tilt 8%
696º General ELO ranking 3044º
52º Country ELO ranking 593º
ELO win probability
80.7%
Bootle FC
11.4%
Draw
8%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
Bootle FC
3.3
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bootle FC
+88%
+72%
Crewe Alexandra

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bootle FC
Crewe Alexandra
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Bootle FC
THE
Lincoln City
LIN
Sheffield United
SHE
Walsall
WAL
Grimsby Town
GRI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bootle FC
Bootle FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO THE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 1893
THE
Bootle FC
7 - 1
Walsall
WAL
47%
27%
26%
1202 1184 18 +12
25 Feb. 1893
THE
Bootle FC
3 - 2
Burton Swifts
BUR
45%
27%
28%
1196 1257 -61 +6
18 Feb. 1893
BIR
Birmingham City
6 - 2
Bootle FC
THE
51%
26%
23%
1206 1349 143 -10
21 Jan. 1893
THE
Bootle FC
5 - 3
Man. City
MAC
46%
27%
27%
1196 1281 -85 +9
07 Jan. 1893
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Bootle FC
THE
47%
27%
26%
1202 1202 0 -6

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 1893
SHE
Sheffield United
4 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
51%
26%
23%
1220 1329 109 -10
25 Feb. 1893
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 2
Darwen FC
DAR
46%
27%
27%
1220 1308 -88 0
18 Feb. 1893
MAC
Man. City
3 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
27%
26%
1229 1250 21 -9
04 Feb. 1893
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
4 - 1
Man. City
MAC
47%
27%
26%
1218 1260 -42 +11
28 Jan. 1893
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
4 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1208 1216 -8 +10