Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1900 |
BOL
2 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
BOL
7 - 0
LOU
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1899 |
BAR
1 - 6
BOL
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
BUR
2 - 5
BOL
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
GAI
1 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
POR
3 - 0
BIR
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1899 |
MUD
3 - 0
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1899 |
POR
3 - 1
LOU
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |