Bolton Wanderers vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 3
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POS
3 - 3
BOL
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 2
STF
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
OXF
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 0
POS
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 2
OXF
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 1
STE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OXF
0 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |