Premier League Round 4

Bolton Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Bolton Wanderers Oldham Athletic AFC
84 ELO 79
8.1% Tilt 8.6%
1228º General ELO ranking 3861º
42º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
64.4%
Bolton Wanderers
19.4%
Draw
16.1%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.1%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-7%
+4%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1922
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
66%
19%
15%
84 79 5 0
26 Aug. 1922
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
42%
25%
33%
84 79 5 0
06 May. 1922
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
4 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
57%
21%
22%
84 83 1 0
29 Apr. 1922
MID
Middlesbrough
4 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
52%
23%
25%
84 83 1 0
22 Apr. 1922
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
58%
21%
21%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1922
STO
Stoke City
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
30%
26%
43%
79 69 10 0
26 Aug. 1922
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
4 - 1
Stoke City
STO
59%
22%
18%
79 70 9 0
06 May. 1922
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
38%
27%
35%
78 83 5 +1
29 Apr. 1922
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
72%
16%
12%
78 83 5 0
22 Apr. 1922
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
50%
24%
26%
79 76 3 -1