Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
BBU
3 - 1
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 4
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
TOT
3 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
BPO
0 - 1
BOL
56%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 2
TOT
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 3
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
36%
22%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
MUD
6 - 1
WHU
69%
17%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1960 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
40%
21%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |