Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
BPO
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 2
BOL
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARS
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |