Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOL
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 1
BOL
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 3
ROM
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 0
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEC
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |