Bologna vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 2
BOL
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
NOV
1 - 3
BOL
26%
23%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
TOR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
INT
5 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |