Bologna vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
BOL
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
CRO
74%
17%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |