Apertura Bolivia . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Bolívar vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
STR
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
STR
5 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OPE
0 - 1
STR
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ATT
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |