Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-5
Bolívar vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
2 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
COR
0 - 0
NAC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
FLA
4 - 0
NAC
47%
28%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |