FA Cup . Previa 3

Boldmere St. Michaels vs Chasetown analysis

Boldmere St. Michaels Chasetown
18 ELO 24
1.3% Tilt -1.7%
7610º General ELO ranking 7301º
388º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
34%
Boldmere St. Michaels
22%
Draw
44.1%
Chasetown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
Boldmere St. Michaels
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.1%
Win probability
Chasetown
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Boldmere St. Michaels
Chasetown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boldmere St. Michaels
Boldmere St. Michaels
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2017
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
5 - 0
Wolv. Casuals
WOL
74%
15%
11%
19 11 8 0
19 Aug. 2017
WOL
Wolv. Casuals
2 - 2
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
17%
19%
65%
19 11 8 0
05 Aug. 2017
COV
Coventry Sphinx
0 - 2
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
56%
20%
24%
18 21 3 +1
20 Aug. 2016
HIU
Highgate United
1 - 0
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
36%
23%
41%
19 17 2 -1
06 Aug. 2016
BRI
AFC Bridgnorth
0 - 3
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
12%
18%
70%
18 8 10 +1

Matches

Chasetown
Chasetown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2017
FRI
Frickley Athletic
5 - 0
Chasetown
CHA
40%
25%
36%
25 22 3 0
26 Aug. 2017
CHA
Chasetown
4 - 0
Gresley
GRE
67%
18%
15%
24 18 6 +1
22 Aug. 2017
CHA
Chasetown
2 - 0
Worcester City
WOR
34%
25%
41%
22 32 10 +2
20 Aug. 2017
WOR
Worcester City
1 - 1
Chasetown
CHA
63%
21%
16%
22 32 10 0
16 Aug. 2017
KID
Kidsgrove Athletic
1 - 1
Chasetown
CHA
71%
17%
12%
21 27 6 +1
X