Bogotá vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 3
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
COR
3 - 2
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
BOG
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 2
CUC
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
CUC
20%
26%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
QUI
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |