Bogliasco vs Cantù San Paolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogliasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOG
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 2
NAV
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
BOG
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 0
CHI
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
BOG
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cantù San Paolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
LAS
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 3
VER
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
9%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAN
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |