Boca Juniors de Cali vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
BOG
4 - 1
BJC
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BJC
1 - 0
QUI
17%
29%
54%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BJC
0 - 1
AFC
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BJC
1 - 1
LEO
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
BJC
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
FOR
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
MIL
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |