Boca Júnior FC vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOC
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
1 - 2
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
DOR
32%
22%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 2
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 5
PAR
9%
20%
71%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |