Carioca 1 Segunda Fase. Jor. 3

Boavista SC vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Boavista SC Vasco da Gama
55 ELO 79
7.7% Tilt 5.6%
4259º General ELO ranking 196º
149º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
14.1%
Boavista SC
18.6%
Draw
67.3%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
Boavista SC
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.3%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista SC
+27%
+16%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Boavista SC
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista SC
Boavista SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2009
CAB
Cabofriense
0 - 2
Boavista SC
BOA
45%
24%
31%
54 54 0 0
07 Mar. 2009
BOA
Boavista SC
3 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
53 47 6 +1
15 Feb. 2009
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 2
Bangu
BAN
53%
23%
24%
54 55 1 -1
12 Feb. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 2
Boavista SC
BOA
93%
5%
2%
54 85 31 0
08 Feb. 2009
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Mesquita FC
MES
70%
18%
12%
54 42 12 0

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2009
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
57%
22%
21%
78 83 5 0
08 Mar. 2009
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
87%
10%
3%
78 49 29 0
18 Feb. 2009
FLA
Flamengo PI
1 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
8%
16%
77%
78 30 48 0
15 Feb. 2009
MAD
Madureira RJ
0 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
9%
17%
74%
78 47 31 0
11 Feb. 2009
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
85%
11%
4%
78 54 24 0
X