Boa EC vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
BOA
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 0
GOI
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 0
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
BOA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |