Bloemfontein Celtic vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
BLO
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BLO
0 - 0
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
BLO
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 1
AMA
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PIR
2 - 1
BLO
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
WYD
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 1
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SUN
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
SUN
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 0
GOL
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |