Blauw Geel '38 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OOS
3 - 0
BLA
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 5
HOO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 1
GRO
40%
24%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 2
BLA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 4
BLA
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OSS
4 - 2
USV
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
USV
1 - 5
QUI
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEM
0 - 2
USV
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
USV
1 - 2
OOS
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
WES
2 - 0
USV
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |