Blauw Geel '38 vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
13º
3º
47
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
94% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
0 - 0
BLA
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 4
STE
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 0
BLA
30%
22%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 3
BLA
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOE
2 - 2
TOG
57%
20%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 4
HOE
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOE
0 - 2
TIE
68%
18%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 1
HOE
30%
23%
47%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 1
HOE
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |