Blacktown City Demons vs Blacktown Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SYD
4 - 3
BLA
36%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 3
ROC
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
BLA
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 0
SUT
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SYD
4 - 0
BLA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 1
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
API
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 0
SYD
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |