League One Round 45

Blackpool vs Barnsley analysis

Blackpool Barnsley
74 ELO 73
4.8% Tilt -7.8%
1322º General ELO ranking 1638º
44º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Blackpool
25.3%
Draw
31.1%
Barnsley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Blackpool
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
Barnsley
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blackpool
-16%
+8%
Barnsley

Points and table prediction

Blackpool
Their league position
Barnsley
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
17º
76
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Portsmouth
97
97
100%
Derby County
92
92
100%
Bolton Wanderers
87
87
100%
Peterborough United
84
84
100%
Oxford United
77
77
100%
Barnsley
76
76
100%
Lincoln City
74
74
100%
Blackpool
73
73
100%
Stevenage
71
71
100%
Wigan Athletic
12º
62
70
10º
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
10º
65
65
11º
100%
Leyton Orient
11º
65
65
12º
100%
Exeter City
13º
61
61
13º
100%
Northampton
14º
60
60
14º
100%
Reading
17º
53
59
15º
100%
Bristol Rovers
15º
57
57
16º
100%
Charlton Athletic
16º
53
53
17º
100%
Cambridge United
18º
48
48
18º
0%
Shrewsbury Town
19º
48
48
19º
0%
Burton Albion
20º
46
46
20º
100%
Cheltenham Town
21º
44
44
21º
100%
Fleetwood Town
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Port Vale
23º
41
41
23º
100%
Carlisle United
24º
30
30
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Blackpool
Barnsley
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Blackpool
Barnsley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blackpool
Blackpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
20%
26%
54%
74 57 17 0
09 Apr. 2024
BPO
Blackpool
1 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
71%
19%
11%
74 60 14 0
06 Apr. 2024
BPO
Blackpool
1 - 0
Cambridge United
CAM
67%
20%
13%
74 63 11 0
01 Apr. 2024
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 0
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
54%
24%
22%
74 71 3 0
29 Mar. 2024
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
50%
26%
25%
75 77 2 -1

Matches

Barnsley
Barnsley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2024
OPA
Portsmouth
3 - 2
Barnsley
BAR
52%
23%
25%
74 78 4 0
13 Apr. 2024
BAR
Barnsley
2 - 2
Reading
REA
54%
23%
23%
74 70 4 0
09 Apr. 2024
STE
Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
28%
26%
45%
75 70 5 -1
06 Apr. 2024
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
26%
25%
49%
76 66 10 -1
01 Apr. 2024
BUR
Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley
BAR
16%
23%
61%
76 62 14 0