Black Leopards vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
16º
16º
56
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTH
2 - 2
BLA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
JDR
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 3
BLA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
MAG
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TTM
0 - 1
BLA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TTM
1 - 0
AJA
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
VFA
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
NBM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
0 - 0
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
POL
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |