BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BKM
1 - 2
PYU
22%
19%
59%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BKM
1 - 2
BAN
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VAN
1 - 0
BKM
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BKM
1 - 2
NOA
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 2
BKM
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 2
ALA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 2
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VAN
0 - 1
ARA
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
7 - 1
NOA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |