Birmingham City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BPO
6 - 1
BIR
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 4
COV
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 0
BIR
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 0
WBA
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SWA
0 - 0
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
HUL
45%
27%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
PNE
1 - 1
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
4 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 1
SWA
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
2 - 2
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |