FC Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
12º
11º
43
10º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SSS
2 - 2
BFM
61%
23%
17%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BFM
2 - 2
RIC
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 1
BFM
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BFM
2 - 0
VAS
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BFM
0 - 2
FAN
23%
27%
50%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Termoli Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
SOR
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
TER
61%
23%
17%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TER
2 - 4
RCF
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 1
TER
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
ASD
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |