Bienvenida A vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bienvenida A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 1
BIE
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
BIE
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
0 - 3
CDE
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
BIE
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BIE
4 - 1
VIL
54%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDE
9%
14%
77%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
UDF
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 4
VIL
68%
16%
15%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACE
2 - 3
UDF
28%
22%
51%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 2
SPR
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |