Bienvenida A vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+179%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bienvenida A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SPR
3 - 1
BIE
62%
20%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BIE
1 - 3
RHI
20%
22%
58%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BIE
2 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 1
BIE
48%
22%
30%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BIE
0 - 2
SEG
42%
24%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 2
VIL
62%
19%
20%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 1
UDF
57%
20%
23%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ACE
1 - 3
UDF
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UDF
2 - 2
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
6 - 0
UDF
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |