Philadelphia Union II vs Hartford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
4 - 0
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
PHU
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
6 - 0
PHU
73%
15%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 0
PHU
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
1 - 2
AFC
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hartford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
3 - 1
NYO
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PIT
5 - 0
HAA
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HAA
0 - 3
PIT
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 2
LOU
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |