Philadelphia Union II vs Chicago Fire II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
PHU
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
PHU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ROC
3 - 0
PHU
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 0
ORL
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
IMI
1 - 2
PHU
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 5
STL
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 4
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 6
CHI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NYC
3 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
FCC
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |