Lowland Football League Scotland Round 28

Berwick Rangers vs Hearts II analysis

Berwick Rangers Hearts II
38 ELO 37
3.3% Tilt -5.6%
6923º General ELO ranking 5330º
75º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Berwick Rangers
20.5%
Draw
29.3%
Hearts II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.3%
Win probability
Hearts II
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Berwick Rangers
+4%
-38%
Hearts II

Points and table prediction

Berwick Rangers
Their league position
Hearts II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
18º
48
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Berwick Rangers
Hearts II
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Berwick Rangers
Hearts II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
1 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
59%
20%
21%
39 39 0 0
03 Jan. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 0
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
18%
21%
61%
36 49 13 +3
31 Dec. 2022
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
65%
18%
17%
36 29 7 0
26 Dec. 2022
STI
Stirling University
3 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
71%
18%
11%
37 47 10 -1
06 Dec. 2022
CFC
Celtic II
1 - 3
Berwick Rangers
BER
80%
14%
7%
35 49 14 +2

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 1
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
39%
22%
39%
36 39 3 0
21 Dec. 2022
RFC
Rangers FC II
2 - 3
Hearts II
HOM
86%
10%
4%
35 54 19 +1
07 Dec. 2022
HOM
Hearts II
0 - 0
Spartans
SPA
25%
20%
55%
34 44 10 +1
03 Dec. 2022
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
3 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
78%
14%
8%
35 49 14 -1
26 Nov. 2022
HOM
Hearts II
4 - 0
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
82%
11%
7%
35 21 14 0