Beroe vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
AKA
0 - 1
BER
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
SSO
2 - 0
BER
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
BER
1 - 0
SVA
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
FKM
4 - 3
BER
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 1
BER
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 0
FKM
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
SVA
2 - 0
DUN
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
DUN
4 - 1
SPA
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 0
LSO
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |