BFC Dynamo vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
BFC
0 - 3
ERF
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ALT
5 - 0
BFC
28%
22%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAB
1 - 1
BFC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BFC
0 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 6
BFC
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAB
5 - 0
AUE
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AUE
2 - 2
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
AUE
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
AUE
1 - 0
VIK
44%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MEU
2 - 4
AUE
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |