DDR Oberliga Round 5

BFC Dynamo vs Union Berlin analysis

BFC Dynamo Union Berlin
90 ELO 72
14.6% Tilt 27.9%
1773º General ELO ranking 70º
73º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
85.3%
BFC Dynamo
10.2%
Draw
4.4%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
BFC Dynamo
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Dynamo
-18%
-7%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

BFC Dynamo
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Dynamo
BFC Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 1986
BSG
BSG Stahl Riesa
0 - 2
BFC Dynamo
BFC
14%
20%
66%
89 72 17 0
30 Aug. 1986
BFC
BFC Dynamo
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
68%
18%
14%
89 86 3 0
23 Aug. 1986
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2 - 2
BFC Dynamo
BFC
24%
23%
53%
89 82 7 0
16 Aug. 1986
BFC
BFC Dynamo
4 - 1
FC Vorwärts Frankfurt
FVF
77%
14%
9%
89 83 6 0
24 May. 1986
BFC
BFC Dynamo
4 - 0
BSG Stahl Riesa
BSG
82%
12%
6%
89 72 17 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 1986
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
24%
27%
49%
72 85 13 0
30 Aug. 1986
BIS
Bischofswerdaer
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
32%
29%
39%
73 53 20 -1
23 Aug. 1986
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
34%
29%
38%
73 84 11 0
16 Aug. 1986
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 1
Lokomotive Leipzig
LOK
26%
27%
47%
73 87 14 0
24 May. 1986
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
79%
14%
8%
73 85 12 0