Bergisch Gladbach vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
16º
6º
34
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 1
BER
21%
20%
60%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
WEG
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KON
0 - 2
BER
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
BFR
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SIE
4 - 0
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
VFL
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 1
HUR
48%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
VIA
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
BSC
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |