Bergedorf 85 vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CUR
4 - 1
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
NIE
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 3
EIN
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
BER
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
VIE
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 3
SVL
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
SVL
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 2
RUG
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
SVL
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 2
MEI
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |