Bergantiños FC vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOI
0 - 2
BER
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
NOI
82%
14%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RCV
1 - 0
BER
37%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALO
1 - 2
BER
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
NOI
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALO
2 - 1
OUR
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARO
32%
26%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OUR
2 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
OUR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |