Benfica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
37%
23%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
LGC
0 - 0
SLB
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
SEI
0 - 4
SLB
8%
13%
79%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 2
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LEX
3 - 0
BEL
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACA
5 - 3
LEX
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
LEX
3 - 3
FAB
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 0
LEX
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |