Benfica vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 1
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 4
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 4
SLB
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
PAO
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STU
0 - 3
BYM
4%
10%
85%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BYM
4 - 0
CFS
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 1
HOF
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DRO
0 - 1
BYM
3%
9%
88%
|
94 | 46 | 48 | +1 |