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UCL. Group E, Matchday 2

Benfica vs Barcelona analysis

Benfica Barcelona
90 ELO 97
-25% Tilt 24%
21º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.2%
Benfica
27.2%
Draw
47.6%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
Benfica
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.6%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Points and table prediction

Benfica
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
3
17
100%
Benfica
1
4
34%
Dinamo Kiev
1
4
31%
Barcelona
0
4
31%
Expected probabilities
Benfica
Barcelona
Next phase
34% 31%
elimuefa
31% 39%
Mid-table
34% 31%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Benfica
SLB
Atlético
ATM
Portimonense
POR
Valencia
VCF
Granada
GRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO SLB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2021
DYN
Dinamo Kiev
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
21%
24%
55%
3189 1844 -1345 -15
11 Sep. 2021
SAN
CD Santa Clara
0 - 5
Benfica
SLB
13%
19%
68%
3179 1598 -1581 +5
29 Aug. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Tondela
TON
82%
12%
6%
3193 1657 1536 +2
24 Aug. 2021
PSV
PSV
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
46%
27%
27%
3193 2966 -227 +2
21 Aug. 2021
GFC
Gil Vicente
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
14%
19%
67%
3186 1498 -1688 +3

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3641 3564 77 -52
08 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
AE Prat
PRA
74%
15%
11%
3638 328 3310 0
29 Aug. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Getafe
GET
81%
13%
6%
3711 2351 1360 +2
21 Aug. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
22%
24%
54%
3719 2578 -1141 -7
15 Aug. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 2
R. Sociedad
RSO
79%
14%
7%
3714 2679 1035 +5