Benfica vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 1
PAÇ
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AND
5 - 0
KVM
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ZUL
4 - 3
AND
27%
25%
49%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AND
5 - 2
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WAA
0 - 3
AND
14%
22%
65%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AND
4 - 1
GEN
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |