Champions League Last 16
Global 3-2
Benfica vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
SLB
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 2
GFC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 2
SCP
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
TWE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |