Benfica vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 3
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 3
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |