Benfica Sub 23 vs Torreense Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+607%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
7º
18
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
BES
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
MAF
74%
14%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 2
BES
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACV
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEX
2 - 0
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +3 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GIL
4 - 2
TOR
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
FAM
2 - 2
TOR
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |