Benfica Sub 23 vs Portimonense Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
3º
1º
14
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BES
3 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BES
5 - 1
EST
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BES
3 - 0
MAF
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 7
BES
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BES
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
EST
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 3
POR
30%
22%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |