Benfica Sub 23 vs Farense Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
BES
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BES
1 - 2
MAR
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
BES
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 1
BES
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CDP
0 - 5
BES
14%
18%
69%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPO
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
FAR
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
EST
19%
22%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |