Benfica II vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 2
BEN
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
COV
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 4
ARO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |