Benevento vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 1
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
BEN
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
ACL
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
3 - 1
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
USA
2 - 2
USC
26%
27%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
USA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |