Serie A Round 5

Benevento vs Roma analysis

Benevento Roma
68 ELO 90
-10% Tilt 2.1%
844º General ELO ranking 18º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.8%
Benevento
12.9%
Draw
82.3%
Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
Benevento
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
82.3%
Win probability
Roma
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benevento
-9%
+6%
Roma

ELO progression

Benevento
Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2017
NAP
Napoli
6 - 0
Benevento
BEN
91%
7%
2%
69 91 22 0
10 Sep. 2017
BEN
Benevento
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
14%
23%
63%
69 85 16 0
26 Aug. 2017
BEN
Benevento
0 - 1
Bologna
BOL
36%
30%
35%
70 76 6 -1
20 Aug. 2017
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 1
Benevento
BEN
71%
18%
11%
70 81 11 0
12 Aug. 2017
BEN
Benevento
0 - 4
Perugia
PRG
41%
27%
32%
71 72 1 -1

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2017
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
85%
11%
4%
90 77 13 0
12 Sep. 2017
ROM
Roma
0 - 0
Atlético
ATM
42%
26%
33%
90 93 3 0
01 Sep. 2017
ROM
Roma
4 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
85%
11%
4%
90 77 13 0
26 Aug. 2017
ROM
Roma
1 - 3
Inter
INT
67%
19%
15%
90 87 3 0
20 Aug. 2017
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 1
Roma
ROM
23%
21%
55%
90 85 5 0